Digital Assets: Bitcoin A “Bubble” – Bank Of America Fund Manager Survey

May 18, 2021 | Digital Assets, News
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Bank of America surveyed 216 fund managers in May.

Bank of America’s survey of fund managers in May covered 216 panelists holding $625 billion in assets under management between May 7 and 13.

Key observations of the Bank of America survey:

  • Most crowded trade – “long bitcoin” (43%) followed by going long on technology, long ESG, and short US treasuries (Business Standard)
  • 75% of respondents said bitcoin was in bubble territory
  • 29% said the S&P 500 will outperform other assets in 2021
  • 25% felt oil will be at the top spot in the year
  • 20% suggested emerging markets will take the lead as an asset class
  • The biggest risk is inflation – 35%; taper tantrum 27%; asset bubbles 15%
  • Only 9% think COVID-19 is the biggest tail risk
  • Value stocks will outperform growth in the coming 12 months – 48%
  • The global economy will get a lot stronger – 48%
  • Commodity optimism still at all-time highs – allocation in portfolios is 27% average

However, bitcoin is under pressure

Bitcoin is currently trading at $42,935, well below its all-time high of over $63,000 touched on April 16. That’s nearly 31% off – has the Bank of America bitcoin “bubble” already burst?

Many bitcoin investors lay the blame for recent price damage at the door of Elon Musk. Last week, Musk suddenly did a volte-face and announced that Tesla (NASDAQ: TSLA) would no longer accept bitcoins as payment for its cars. His reason: The energy consumed in its mining could be damaging to the environment.

However, many analysts are already humming a bearish tune. Cornerstone Macro’s Carter Worth, also known as the “Chartmaster,” thinks bitcoin is ready for a 55% plunge from its high – that puts its price at a potential $29,000.

Delta Exchange’s CEO Pankaj Balani thinks bearish moves are not finding takers at lower levels.

“Most traders are convinced of a further downside and are looking at 35,000-38,000 levels on BTC. The 200 DMA at ~38,000 should act as strong support for bitcoin,” he added.

Related Story:  Musk To Bitcoin – It’s Not Me, It’s You                                                 

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